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[A paper presented at
the 13th International Conference on Land Value Taxation and Free
Trade. Douglas. Isle of Man. September 1973]
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Inflation -- the falling purchasing power of money -- is the subject of
interest and discussion everywhere. Our distinguished economists have
not, however, succeeded in accounting for the causes of inflation, which
surely is the cardinal prerequisite to its elimination.
Some are of the opinion that the printing press throws out too many
bank notes, and others put the blame on wages and prices -- the screw
without end.
INFLATION AND NOTE CIRCULATION
A limited understanding of the concept of money leads to the quick, but
erroneous, conclusion that too many bank notes are printed.
Despite the fact that, for instance, Denmark has experienced annual
increases in prices of 6-7 per cent from 1 968-71 , there has been no
increase at all in the note issue in circulation (constantly about 5-1/2
billion kr.).
During the same period, deposit accounts in banks and savings banks
have risen from 44 to 55 billion kr. and bond holdings from 62 to 99
billion kr., plus an increase in other mortgage deeds not included in
the statistics. This increase in means of payment (proofs of purchasing
power) is far greater than the increase in production. These means of
payment are used for purchase of commodities and, in particular,
acquirement of real estate.
It is logical that the concept "money" includes all means of
payment. The greatly extended use of cheques, giro and account cards
might well result in gradually halving the note circulation, but anyone
can see that this would have no effect on the cost-of-living index.
Money is in fact a written promise of payment. The National Bank, with
its two signatures, guarantees that a 1 00-kroner note entitles the
bearer to goods of equivalent value. A private mortgage deed for 100,000
kr. only requires one signature.
Purchasing power is the amount of goods or services that can be offered
as payment for other goods or services. A Dollar, a Mark, a Pound or a
Krone are units of measurement for goods and services. The value of a
coin thus depends upon how much it can buy. The National Bank exchanges
proofs of purchasing power for those who require bank notes or coins to
facilitate everyday purchases. It does not, however, put more notes into
circulation than necessary to meet these requirements.
To blame the printing of bank notes for inflation is both illogical and
incorrect.
THE RACE BETWEEN WAGES AND PRICES
Rising wages and salaries are often blamed for inflation. This is
absurd, inasmuch as increases in earnings generally limp along behind
price increases. Denmark's Minister of Finance, Henry Grunbaum has often
said that inflation is the price we have to pay for full employment.
This is an error of judgement. Full employment was in point of fact
achieved in Denmark in 1957-60, when we simultaneously put a stop to
inflation.
At times of full employment, the labour force is in the seller's market
-- a hitherto unknown phenomenon and something that classic political
economists had not even dreamt of. They had only considered situations
in which the work force was in the buyer's market, where the weak
position of the working man was open to exploitation.
As long as full employment is enjoyed, the law of supply and demand
assures the working man a wage level so high that there only remains a
comparatively modest remuneration for management and similar yield on
capital employed.
On the other hand, there is a definite limit to just how high wages can
soar. Wage demands that are higher than can be borne by production, lead
to close-downs.
The total real purchasing power of employees and employers is equal to
their joint production; it is merely the distribution between the two
that has changed. So here too we look in vain for the source of
inflation. There will always be equilibrium between the extent of
production and the purchasing power production itself brings about.
SOURCE OF INFLATION
Extra purchasing power emerges without production and the greatest part
comes from increased land values.
CAUSES OF INFLATION
We permit the rising land values created by the community to find their
way into private pockets to become extra purchasing power (for a
fortunate minority), without corresponding extra production. Already in
existence is purchasing power resulting from work performed and
precisely corresponding to the amount of production. The demand for
goods made by the extra purchasing power has to be met out of this same
production. The resultant pressure of demand leads to higher prices --
which must be paid by all.
In order to understand this, it must be appreciated that there is no
difference between the money that is earned through the performance of
work and the money that is gained through unproductive increases in the
value of real estate.
In this way, the contents of the wage packet are simply eaten away and
employees are forced constantly to demand compensation for the
undermined purchasing power in the shape of more pay. The State has to
collect higher taxes to pay higher salaries to civil servants and bigger
pensions and more aid to the victims of inflation -- without anyone
being any better off, except inflation, which thrives.
With present taxes and an inflation rate of 7 per cent the employee
must be paid 12 per cent more in the course of the year to maintain the
purchasing power of his money. Not only must he pay higher commodity
prices, but he is cheated out of his share of the progress in
production.
It is interesting to note that the effect of 7 per cent inflation on
Denmark's national product of 1 50 billion kr. is 10 billion a year. At
the same time, Denmark's land-owners -- with emphasis on a small
minority - have experienced a rise in the value of their land of just
about 10 billion kr.
THE EFFECTS OF INFLATION
A very unequal distribution exists inasmuch as relatively few
landowners, without any contribution through performance of work,
increase their income and their wealth at the expense of the majority,
who in this way thus receive correspondingly less for their production.
Those actively engaged in the economic effort, increase the overall
production by 3-4 per cent and thus expect their income to rise
accordingly. At the end of the year, however, they realize that real
wages simply haven't risen inasmuch as the entire increase has been lost
in the reduction of the buying power of the Krone. All progress merely
ends in increased land values to the advantage of a small number of
individuals, passive onlookers to the economic effort.
THE TWO SIDES OF INFLATION
All attention has hitherto been focused on the "losses" side
of inflation. Economists and politicians have, without success, tried
one-sidedly to combat the effect, but have through their counter
measures done more harm than good.
Had they approached the "profits" side with the same zeal,
how easily they could have prevented these profits from arising. Without
the "profits" side of inflation, there would be no losses and
the unfair distribution of wealth would have ceased. The numerous small
house-owners who are also actively engaged in the economic effort, have
been pushed into the lime-light by political propaganda in defence of
the big landowners' monopolistic interests. However, if only they had
studied the "profit and loss accounts" more thoroughly, they
would have discovered that their gain from rising house values is
negligible compared to their loss. Take for instance, daily price
increases, the high rate of interest and rising taxes -- all of which
are due to the unequal distribution mentioned.
THE SOLUTION OF INFLATION
Simply channel the increment from rising land values into public funds
and use the money to reduce taxation correspondingly, so that the amount
that has to be paid extra in land rent, directly, in the form of land
tax and, indirectly, through high rents, will be paid less in tax.
A state of balance is thus achieved and only one payment is made
instead of two, as in tine case at present where the victims of
inflation are subject to private taxation in the way of increased land
rent to private individuals, (interest on mortgage deeds), and then in
higher taxes to the State because the community does not receive its
rightful income (land rent) as compared to its investment.
UNSUCCESSFUL COUNTER MEASURES:
It is the victims of inflation that have to pay for the unsuccessful
experiments of our politicians: "consumer-restrictive measures"
through "confiscation of the surplus purchasing power" -- by
means of higher taxation, naturally -- and "we must lower the steam
from the over-heated pressure of demand" by "wages and price
freeze".
The result is, however, that these interventions act as a spanner in
the works of production itself and thus instead work as
production-restrictive measures.
When, in the late sixties, this was tried in the United States,
unemployment figures were doubled, without any fall in the rate of
inflation. And along came the Dollar crisis instead. This and similar
experience in, for instance, Great Britain, should be sufficient to stop
these experiments.
It takes a very special psyche to believe that economic crises can be
overcome by working less.
The great majority of people either have no or very few private means.
The number of those who do, or the extent of their means, has not grown
concurrently with the rise in production that rationalisation and
technological progress has achieved for the country as a whole, whilst a
comparatively small minority have, on the other hand, increased their
private accumulation of wealth considerably.
Most of this growth in wealth comes, not from rising production, but
from the increased value of real estate created by the community,
especially that of land, which as mentioned rose 50 billion kr. in 9
years. The annual increase in land values, which has now reached 1 0
billion kr., is paid for in the way of higher commodity prices by the 5
million Danes at a rate of 2,000 kr. each.
THREE INDICATIONS
If the gains of inflation are stopped, the losses will stop too.
Three instances indicate the truth of this:
In the Soviet Union, where speculation in land is out of the question,
the Ruble buys more and more year by year and this despite the enormous
and still rising military expenditure which is put on commodity prices.
Land values in the USA have risen 95 per cent from 1962-72 and
inflation here is only 3-4 per cent, half that of Western Europe where,
for example, land values in Denmark, have risen 300 per cent over the
past 10 years. Our rate of inflation is 6-7 per cent. After exorbitant
increases in the price of land in Great Britain in 1972, land values
will doubtless have increased even more there. The British rate of
inflation is also higher, namely 8-9 per cent.
Inflation was brought to a halt in Denmark when the parliamentary
majority promised in 1957 to collect increases in the value of land.
Increases in commodity prices fell from 5-6 per cent annually to less
than 1 per cent on average in the 3-1/2 year period.
An inflation rate of, for example, 6 per cent is often mentioned
because this is how much the cost-of-living has risen. However, as
rationalisation and mechanisation should lead to lower commodity prices
(as is in fact the case in the USSR in recent years), the true rate of
inflation is probably a few per cent higher than shown in the index.
The following is thus established:
- inflation means unequal distribution of the results of
production.
- the unequal distribution is demonstrated by the double-sided
effects of inflation, the losers, on the one hand, who have to pay
higher commodity prices and, on the other, the winners of enormous
fortunes ;
- the unequal distribution is worsened by the fact that the
winners, who often raise a loan in order to acquire real estate, can
repay loans in greatly depreciated kroner;
- the injustice of inflation rests in the fact that while the
winner gets his "prize" without productive contribution,
the loser must consequently relinquish full and rightful payment for
his contribution;
- inflation accelerates, with the result that both prices and taxes
rise to such an extent that many branches of trade and industry will
not, in the long run, be able to meet the high wage demands that are
made to cover the price increases, if they are simultaneously to
maintain their ability to compete on world markets.
- inflation also accelerates speculation in the price of property
and, especially, land, thus increasing capital requirements for
those wishing to establish themselves -- to the detriment, in
particular, of the young;
- as everyone desires to borrow money to safeguard themselves
against inflation through the purchase of real estate, inflation is
accompanied by a high rate of interest and thus also high rents "
This again is detrimental to young people who wish to set up house
or go into business;
- Denmark's experience of a balanced foreign economy is limited to
the period from 1 957-60 where inflation was eliminated;
- more and more people have to have social support -- with
resultant higher taxes -- because their earnings and savings are
eaten up by inflation.
Our experience in the years 1 957-60 simultaneously establishes that:
- inflation can be stopped;
- the interest rate is almost halved when inflation is stopped (low
rents);
- the deficit on the balance of payments was settled in the course
of the 3-1/2 years without inflation;
- practically the entire wage increase in the non-inflation period
was a real wage increase, the highest ever experienced, because the
unearned incomes were eliminated and,
- no new taxes were necessary.
Briefly:
Inflation can be stopped at any time by making land speculation an
uninteresting proposition. This is done by collecting the unearned
increment created by the community in order that it may be used by the
community in the reduction of taxation.
The question is, do our politicians really want to stop inflation and
have they the courage to do so?
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