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The Nature and Causes of Interest |
| [Reprinted from The
Freeman, September, 1942] |
A Georgist discussion of interest should do three things:
1. It should deal with George's theory and indicate agreement or
disagreement.
2. If George's theory la not accepted, it should offer an alternative
theory.
3. If an alternative theory is offered, its conformity or
non-conformity to the rest of George's theories should be brought out.
George properly rejects Bastiat's suggestion that interest arises from "
'the power which exists in the tool to increase the productiveness of
labor' " (Progress & Poverty, 179), reasoning correctly
that if this were the source and reason of interest, the rate of
interest must increase with the inarch of invention -- which is not the
case. Moreover, on the following page, George gives what is to me a very
penetrating discussion of interest to the extent that it can be said to
arise from inanimate capital; this paragraph, which begins, "And I
am inclined to think that if all wealth consisted of such things as
planes . . ." should be read in this connection, ((Progress &
Poverty, 180.) George recognizes that even without the inducement of
interest, there would still be accumulation; indeed, he says in so many
words that the hope of receiving interest is not the main motive for
saving. He also recognizes that there might still be borrowing and
lending, with mutual advantage to both parties, even though no interest
were paid.
It is in the following paragraph that George makes his basic
distinction between animate and inanimate capital by which his own
theory must stand or fall. If it is competent to distinguish between the
reproductive forces of nature on the one hand, and all the
non-reproductive forces on the other, the "natural usufruct"
theory merits further examination. If it is true that there exists "something
which, though it generally requires labor to utilize it, is yet distinct
and' separable from labor" in a sense in which we can not say the
same of the forces of chemistry and physics, then there may be something
in what George says.
George says, "If I put away wine, at the end of a year I will have
an increased value, for the wine will have improved in quality."
Bohm-Bawerk uses a similar illustration. Let us see.
In the first place, we need not assume that the change in the quality
of the wine is due to any biological activity. Even if fermentation is
complete, and the concentration of alcohol such as to prevent further
growth, there will still be an increase in the quality of the wine (as a
rule) due to slow chemical changes which proceed independently of
biological action. We have the same thing when raw whiskey is stored;
after a few years' aging, due to purely chemical and physical changes,
the liquor is much improved. No form of life can survive in alcohol
stronger than about 15% -- 30 proof.
We see, then, that increments to wealth which take place "by mere
lapse of time" do not depend upon the presence of any biological
activity. Any theory which traces interest to such increments must
assume the burden of establishing the validity of a distinction between
increments due to biological action, and increments due to
non-biological forces of nature. George does not recognize the need for
doing this, and it is not easy to see how the difficulty can be
surmounted.
We have seen that there may be an increase of value through mere
inorganic change, without the interposition of life. It is easy to
demonstrate that the converse is also true -- there may be an
interposition of living forces without any increase of value.
On page 181, George gives as examples bees, sheep, swine or cattle, but
unconsciously commits the double error of begging the question and
neglecting an obvious application of the law of rent. He says, "Supposing
that in a country adapted to them, I set out bees" and "where
there is a range, I turn out sheep." la the underlined passages
George assumes the very thing he seeks to prove, hence the petitio
principii. I might as easily prove that all wealth results from
digging holes in the ground by saying "supposing that, where there
is an oil field, I drill a well." Obviously, the increase of the
bees and cattle is due, not to the vital forces of the animals, but to
the special suitability of the land used; if it gives rise to anything
at all, it would be rent. To turn out sheep or cattle on random land,
instead of selected land, would be in most cases to doom them to speedy
extinction. In most of the remaining cases the species, though managing
to survive, would become feral, reverting to the land -- that is, to the
economic status of a wild animal.
All this assumes, of course, that no labor is performed upon the
animals. If we ride herd, build fences, shoot wolves and other enemies,
maintain a watch against the encroachments of disease, or provide
emergency food and shelter, the situation is changed, and in order to
maintain George's theory we must fall back upon his own argument (page
181) that even though labor is indeed expended, there is yet an increase
"over and above that which is to be attributed to labor."
This is mere bald assertion, without a scintilla of logic or evidence
to support it. In no productive process is it possible to distinguish
between that part of the product due to labor and the part due to
capital. How much return may we attribute to labor? Unless we can answer
this question, we cannot answer questions about an alleged excess. In
order to maintain the position of George in this matter, we must first
of all accept a labor theory of value and a value measurement for wealth
-- then we may speak, as Marx does, of an "average amount of
socially necessary labor time" and reason from that to a possible
excess. The fact is, of course, that neither the value nor the quantity
of wealth produced has any necessary relation to the amount of labor
expended. The general rule is that with increasing efficiency in
production, the total quantity of wealth increases, while the value of
the total product may increase or decline, all with the use of the same
amount of labor. All capital increases the power of labor to produce
wealth; this property is not peculiar to capital used in the
reproductive modes. As for the reproductive modes yielding an increase
greater in proportion than that yielded in non-reproductive modes, this
is equivalent to saying that a manufacturer works harder than a farmer.
Is it true?
These arguments may be summarized as follows:
1. Increase of value by mere storage is not peculiar to capital used in
reproductive modes. If such increase is the source of interest, we
cannot confine it to reproductive origins.
2. Capital used in reproductive modes does not in general increase
except (a) on unusually favorable land or (b) by more or less constant
application of labor.
3. There is no basis in either fact or logic for the assertion that
capital used in reproductive modes yields a return which exceeds that
attributable to labor, while capital used in non-reproductive modes
yields no such return.
* * *
Can we derive a sound theory of interest? I think we can. In fact,
George has done it for us, at least in part. It is a great pity that,
after nearly thirty pages of bad logic which finds its culmination in an
indefensible statement of a bad law of interest on page 203, Progress
& Poverty, George immediately pulls himself partially out of his
own quagmire with the paragraph which stands at the end of Chap. 5, Book
3. If he had only ventured a bit further along this road! A little more,
and he might have come to the conclusion that there isn't any law of
interest; that interest isn't even an avenue of distribution; that to
distinguish capital as a factor of production is no more and no less
meaningful than to distinguish between a man's muscles and the man
himself. One la part of the other. When George wrote, "Capital is
but a form of labor, and its distinction from labor is in reality but a
subdivision, just as the division of labor into skilled and unskilled
would be" he laid the groundwork for a sound theory of interest. We
need only build upon this as a foundation.
To show how capital is but a form of labor, let us consider a party of
tourists who encounter a hunter in the woods. For a consideration, the
hunter undertakes to cook them a meal. He gathers sticks and builds a
fire.
These sticks are capital. The meal which the hunter eventually serves
to the tourists is wealth, in the production of which the stick-capital
is not merely utilized, but consumed. This disappearance of capital is
characteristic of all capital production, though of course economic
disappearance need not mean physical disappearance.
Now, assume that tie hunter has never heard of interest. Undertake to
explain to him that the meal he produces is not merely wages, but wages
and interest. (We assume marginal land, but the assumption is for
convenience, not necessity.) I should not care to undertake the job
myself. He will reason, correctly as I think, "At the beginning
there was a dead rabbit. At the end there was hasenpfeffer. The change
was solely the result of my own efforts. In the course of effecting the
change something appeared (the sticks) and disappeared. All production
save the most primitive is like that. Of course I needed the sticks; I
needed the rabbit too, and the knowledge of how to make fire, and so on.
Granting that a distinction can be made, why make it? I'm getting along
swell without."
If indeed, as George recognizes, interest is but a form of wages, or
(more accurately) capital is but a form of labor, then why indeed make
the distinction? The answer is obvious, once the question has been put
in this form; the distinction is necessary when, and only when, the use
of the capital results in a distinguishable claim upon the product. This
happens only when a man uses capital that does not belong to him -when
he uses borrowed capital. Interest is a concept which cannot even arise
in the mind until the practice of using borrowed capital has become an
accepted part of the community's routine.
In order to see how this might come about, consider the hypothetical
case of a world in which the common ownership of land rent has been
practiced since the beginning. In this community there is no involuntary
poverty. What a man has is what he has produced, neither more nor less;
this includes his share of the rent fund, regardless of the particular
manner in which it has been distributed to him. There is no restriction
upon his production; he may, if he wishes, work long hours and produce
less. Our first problem is to describe a set of circumstances such that
this man will borrow the capital of someone else, instead of producing
or using his own.
To state an individual case is simple enough -- a temporary disability
resulting from illness or accident would account for it. So does a
housewife borrow sugar and eggs from her next door neighbor, with the
implicit pledge of mutuality in accommodation. But to evolve an
explanation for widespread and customary borrowing and lending of
capital in an economy of plenty is like supposing a customary borrowing
back and forth of sugar and eggs, when there is ample opportunity of
using one's own. I borrow eggs rather than walk some distance to the
store; would I borrow them when all I need to do to obtain my own is
push the button of my egg-laying machine? Would I pay for the privilege
of using borrowed eggs? Why should I?
But if I needed the eggs right away, and had no better way of getting
them, I might not only borrow, but agree to pay a bonus to the lender.
Here, I think, we have the essential ingredient of interest -- a
temporary emergency so that the mere possession of wealth is not enough;
the possession must be now. There must be what Oppenheimer calls a
unilateral urgency -- an inequality of bargaining position which gives
one party an advantage over the other. Then and only then will one party
agree to give back more than he receives from the other.
(What I consider an almost conclusive argument can be made out for the
proposition that in a free economy there would still be a unilateral
urgency, but that the positions of lender and -borrower would be
reversed, the capital bailment assuming the character of a locatto
operis faciendi, instead of (as at present) a locatio ret.
Then the lender would pay a bonus to the borrower -- the so-called "negative
interest." The complete argument is too long for inclusion here.)
The subsequent argument on the nature of interest need not be
elaborated. The theory that interest arises from inequality of
bargaining position, in which the borrower is at a disadvantage as
compared with the lender, explains, as I see It, everything we can
observe today. If we remember that it is labor that employs capital, not
capital that employs labor, we realize that it is labor that pays
interest to capital, not capital that pays wages to labor. It is common
observation that in our present society the ownership of capital, when
not identical with the ownership of land, is usually the result of
coincidence, luck, accident -- anything but special merit or
productiveness. Without access to land, labor cannot produce its own
capital; with wages depressed nearly to the minimum, It cannot make any
important accumulation. It has no choice but to borrow. But even so,
interest rates are prevented from rising by constant accumulations of
capital that pour into the market, despite the meager promise of return.
SUMMARY
Interest arises when, and only when, the possession of capital confers
a bargaining advantage. In general, whenever there is borrowing of
capital, and one party has a bargaining advantage, we may expect a bonus
to be paid by the party at a disadvantage. No law of nature tells us
that the advantage must always be with the lender. The distribution of
wealth is into rent and wages, not into rent, wages and interest. If the
need for borrowed capital becomes small in proportion to the supply of
capital available, we may expect "interest" to 'become
negative, forced by the competition of would-be investors to a point
approximately equal to depreciation and storage cost.
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