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| [Reprinted from The
Freeman, September, 1942] |
Impermanence is an attribute of all wealth. With respect to goods
designed for immediate consumption, the fact is obvious -- it is only
less so as to more durable goods. When normal consumption or decay are
lingering processes, obsolescence intervenes. The impetus to production
of invention and innovation accelerate the process.
The seeming vast reservoir of material things is in reality an endless
stream of production, momentarily consumed and renewed. Consumption of
necessities is dependent upon and supplied out of current production.
War is no exception to the rule. The implements of destruction must be
fashioned by the generation that employs them. Despite every device of
accounting, war must be paid for as it is fought.
In the past it was possible to shift the incidence of payment for
isolated nationalistic conflicts to the future through the expedient of
borrowing the means of prosecuting the war from abroad. The wealth so
borrowed and consumed in the war was repaid and exported out of the
production of a later period and to that extent the wealth of the nation
as then constituted was depleted.
World struggle has rendered such procedure of impractical value.
Collection of intergovernmental debts arising out of the first world war
was generally abandoned as impracticable and impossible. In the present
world involvement, despite the terminology applied to international
transfers, realism counsels that no true relationship of creditor and
debtor exists or is intended, and could in no event be enforced.
The issue of who will pay for the war and when therefore presents no
problem. Inexorable economic law has determined that those participating
must pay as they fight.
This conclusion is consistent with the fact that we are presently
engaged hi producing the means of prosecuting the war and that nothing
produced hereafter can be used now -- and the further fact that the most
huge tax bill in our history is being levied to pay for that production
in part.
But when we recall that the major part of this production is being
financed by governmental loans we are perplexed. The simple factual
statement that repayment in the future, being but a transfer of wealth
within the nation from those taxed to domestic creditors, in no wise
impairs the wealth of the community as a whole, only serves to beg the
larger question -- the purpose and consequences of such procedure.
The purpose is clear to distribute the burden of the cost over the
future (which is impossible) or deceptively to create the illusion of
its accomplishment. The result is equally clear -- extravagant process,
added cost and redistribution of wealth.
Project the elements of wartime economy in hypothesis and this becomes
apparent. Production of consumer goods hi favor of war goods is acutely
restricted. Every able person is employed, and despite the diversion of
large numbers into actual combat service, production hi the aggregate is
increased. All the aspects of economic prosperity are superficially
presented, but wealth for consumption, always evanescent hi character
and now of limited quantity, is insufficient to pay the wages and
interest normally accruing from such activity. Inflation inevitably
follows the ensuing rapid expansion of credits through loans.
Natural resources, site values and legal monopolies flourish while
inflation absorbs the apparent gains in wages and interest. The
government debt thus stands revealed as the depository of speculative
and monopolistic gain and a guarantee of its return with increment out
of future taxation. The pledge, if too embracing, may fall of its own
weight, for repudiation lurks hi its widening shadow.
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