Henry George: Footnote in the History of
Economic Thought |
[A paper presented at the History of
Economics Society, Babson College Conference, 12 June, 1994.
Revised by the author for publication, July 1994]
|
1. THE SINGLE TAX COMPLEX
A. "THE FORGOTTEN MAN"
In graduate school I had the good fortune to study with Professor
Ingrid Rima, author of one of the most widely-read texts on the
history of economic thought. [
Rima, 1986] When I asked to write a term paper on George, she
indulged my wish with a word of caution. "Henry George," she
gently explained, "is merely a footnote in the history of
economic thought."
This took me somewhat by surprise, since I had heard that no economic
writer had ever sold more books than had George. I had assumed that
there must be some reasonable basis for his popularity, and that the
profession would not have overlooked It. True, George never won
acceptance within academia during his lifetime, largely by his own
doing; he openly doubted the intellectual honesty of the professors,
and even suggested that ordinary citizens could study political
economy without the guidance of books and teachers. Surely by now,
however, emotion will have long since cooled, and scholarship taken
its place. Economists will have picked George clean, exploiting
whatever useful ideas they can find, while carefully exposing the
nature of his errors. Historians of thought will have searched beneath
the particulars of personality, religion, class, and language to
identify George's lasting contributions -- if any there are -- to
economic science. Evidently, if Rima's evaluation represented the
consensus opinion, then economic scholars must have determined that
George's theory offered nothing both new and true, and that he founded
no school of thought whose influence has survived in a significant
way.
I found that Rima's judgment is Indeed the majority view of
economists, at least in regard to the program of rent taxation for
which George is known. It is, though, an opinion of long standing, not
one which has finally been reached after decades of searching analysis
and controversy. Seventy years ago, the Georgist public finance
economist H[arry] G[unnison] Brown observed:
... the majority ... of those who write our current
textbooks on economics and on public finance have long regarded
single-taxers as utterly unsound thinkers whose economic philosophy
should be by all means clearly and definitely discredited. [Brown,
1924: 164]
Brown held that these authorities "have nevertheless failed to
grasp entirely the theory on which support of the single tax is based."
Textbook writers had caricatured, or, very often, simply ignored, any
of single-taxers' arguments, even while complaining of alleged
difficulties in the Georgist program. Brown attributed these attitudes
and errors to an affliction which he called the "single tax
complex." Textbook writers work hard to avoid meeting the
Georglsts' reasoning head-on because they reject a priori the
policy conclusion to which it leads. "Being above all things
scientists, they are more interested in showing the non-conformity of
the policy to their intuitive ethics than they are in exhibiting its
probable consequences!" [182]
Several later writers sympathetic to George have expressed similar
views of the mainstream attitude. In 1941, George Geiger wrote that
the vague idea of "progress and poverty" had become "commonplace,"
but that George's emphasis on the land question had found no
acceptance. Henry George is "the forgotten man." The "neglectful
contempt" for his philosophy is "one of the most curious
anomalies of the entire literature of social reform." Geiger
found the reasons to be unsatisfactory: The land question is out of
date; the single tax was to be a "panacea"; single taxers
are "crackpots." George believed in God, and in classical
economics. Mostly, however, George "is simply outside their
universe of discourse." [Geiger, 1941: 87-88]
Geiger hinted that the shelving of the land question may turn out to
be a mistake with far-reaching consequences. He was moderately
heartened, however, to observe an increasing recognition of the
usefulness of LVT [Land Value Taxation] in "town and regional
planning." [103, 88]
Three decades later, George's place in history had little changed,
and Stuart Bruchey could write of the "twice forgotten man."
Yet Bruchey was confident that George was winning partial acceptance.
He explained that although George's "system" of economics,
constructed in defense of_ his key principle, had failed, its "kernel"
survives. "Georgist principles have clearly entered the
mainstream of modern thought." For example, experts on real
estate taxation have come to agree that land value taxation "has
no harmful effect of any sort on housing quality," despite doubts
concerning equity and yield. Also, LVT is recommended for land-rich,
capital-poor countries as a means of stimulating capital formation and
discouraging underuse of land. [Bruchey, 1972: 199]
B. ECONOMICS OF HENRY GEORGE: THE KERNEL
Insofar as Georgist principles have "entered the mainstream,"
they have done so largely anonymously. It is well, therefore, to
review the "kernel" of the forgotten theory. George traces
the problem of "progress and poverty* to the institution of
private property in land. The remedy is "to make land common
property" [
George, 1879: 326] by the simple fiscal device of collecting
land rent in taxation, leaving exclusive, exchangeable land titles
undisturbed. Rent should then be distributed fairly among individuals
through the reduction or elimination of other taxes, government
provision of public goods, and perhaps direct per capita payments.
... to take for public purposes the increasing values
that attach to land with social growth ... [is] the only means by
which it is possible in an advanced civilization to combine the
security of possession that is necessary to improvement with the
equality of natural opportunity that is the most important of all
natural rights. [George, 1879: 434]
If rent were taxed, argued George, both production and distribution
would be improved. Production would be stimulated by the removal of
taxes which burden production and exchange, as well as by the rent tax
itself.
Rent is the opportunity cost of land occupancy. It measures, not the
intensity with which land is actually used, but the annual amount
which others in the market would be willing to pay for the use of that
land. A tax on either the rent or the capitalized value of land does
not create any incentive to use land less intensively, since the owner
cannot thereby reduce his payment. This means that there is no
decrease in the market supply of land, no increase in tenants'
willingness to pay for the marginal unit of land, and, therefore, no
change in the equilibrium quantity or (demand) price of land. The tax
cannot even be shifted to future buyers of land, since it is
capitalized; the market price of a site falls by the present value of
future taxes. The tax is borne by present landowners.
Moreover, the tax is neutral; It generates zero excess burden. This
advantage is shared by few other significant sources of government
revenue. The greater the revenue raised from a tax on rent, the
smaller the revenues required from inefficient taxes on production and
exchange. To the extent that taxes on productive activity inhibit
production, their removal will stimulate it. George shared the
concerns of modern "supply side" economists: "Today
taxation operates upon energy, and industry, and skill, and thrift,
like a fine upon those qualities." [434]
George further argued that the taxation of land values would
discourage land speculation, so that "land now withheld from use
would be open to improvement." [434] Distribution would
become less unequal as rents are diverted from private to public uses,
while "wages would rise to the fair earnings of labor." [436]
Initially, land rents would fall as speculators deserted the land
market. In the long run, the increase in production "would lead
to an increase in the value of land -- a new surplus which society
might take for general purposes." [432]
George appeals to Lockean principles of freedom and equality to show
that his remedy accords with justice. Both efficiency and equity
require that individuals have private property rights in themselves
and in what their effort (labor and saving) produce, so they should be
entitled to receive their full wages and interest, untaxed. However,
in order to produce anything, individuals must have access to economic
land, which encompasses natural resources, location with respect to
other natural and community-created resources, and pure space itself
-- standing-room. Efficiency and justice also, therefore, require that
all individuals of all generations have access to land. Land Is not
produced by individuals, George observes, and therefore cannot
rightfully be owned by individuals. Society should, through the agency
of representative government, possess the land in common.
In this, George expresses an ancient conviction. What is new is the
recognition that there exists a practical way to share land both
equitably and efficiently in a modern monetary economy. Obviously,
land should not be physically divided and distributed equally, as
perhaps it can in the simplest agrarian society. Nor should most land
be treated as commons in the sense of unlimited public access;
exclusive rights to the use of land are essential. What George shows
is that society need not alienate land to individual ownership in fee
simple in order to preserve productive incentives.
The value of land expresses in exact and tangible form
the right of the community to land held by an individual; and rent
expresses the exact amount which the individual should pay to the
community to satisfy the equal rights of all other members of the
community. [344]
In fact, George held that absolute ownership of land interferes with
its efficient use. Land value taxation is not merely neutral, but
better than neutral: It removes impediments to efficient intertemporal
and inter-generational use of land that are inherent in the system of
absolute private property in land. LVT would break up land monopoly
and deter land speculation, both of which cause misallocation of
resources. Speculation not only misallocates land; in conjunction with
an elastic credit system, it is the major underlying cause of
industrial depressions.
George saw the importance of scale economies, externalities and
government services in giving value to certain lands. He recognized
that urban site values were rapidly overtaking agricultural land
values in relative importance, and focused analytical attention on the
processes and problems of urban economies.
George supposed that a single tax on land values would always be
sufficient for the legitimate needs of government. As progress goes
on, individuals become more interdependent economically, and the
responsibilities of government. However, these activities of society
and government give increased value to land, increasing the tax base.
[George, 1879: 436]
To George, the tax on rent was key to reconciling the apparent
conflict between efficiency and equity. Be argued that inequality in
land ownership, once established, tends to produce further inequality,
ultimately leading to the stagnation and decline of society. Efficient
and stable operation of an economy cannot be sustained if principles
of equity and freedom are ignored. "In Justice is the highest and
truest expediency." [367]
C. IS ANYTHING NEW AND TRUE IN GEORGIST ECONOMICS?
Is there truth to Brown's diagnosis of a "single tax complex"?
Or are there definitive reasons to dismiss George's emphasis on the
land question, and to reject his specific tax proposal? Are economists
right to relegate George to a "footnote"?
Many economists now admit that LVT has certain advantages over
property and other taxes. Milton Friedman once described it as "the
least bad tax." [
Human Events, Nov. 18, 1978] However, the point is not much
advertised. The case for LVT is seen as a minor issue of local tax
reform. The full reach of Georgist thought goes unrecognized. Land has
apparently lost its special analytical status in economic theory. [Skouras,
1980] Few economists have more than a cursory familiarity with the
ideas of Henry George, or of his twentieth century advocates.
The economists have never seriously attacked the
theoretical validity of the single tax program. In the main, in
fact, they have come nearer to ignoring than to condemning. [Davenport,
1910: 279]
The words of H. J. Davenport are less true today than they were in
1910 -- but not very much less. If Georgist economics has been
defeated, it is by ignorance, not by argument or evidence.
Meantime, however, a rich and varied Georgist research program is
underway. The agenda touches virtually every sub-discipline. Some
questions pertain to a spatial, urban economy with externalities and
public services. Some pertain to a dynamic economy with money and
credit, and with imperfections in land, capital, or other markets.
Some focus on savings, capital formation, and growth; others on the
vagaries of the business cycle. Yet others refer to issues of public
choice, administrative practice and bureaucratic incentives; to
questions of population, environment, and sustainable development;
even to the grand issues of justice, political stability, and
international cooperation.
The time may well be right for a resurgence of interest in Georgist
economics, much as Bruchey suggested twenty years ago. It is my belief
that George's central economic principle is valid and profound -- and
that the reasons to pay attention to it are gathering power and
urgency.
In the remainder of this section, I discuss the standard reasons
offered for rejecting the proposal set forth in Progress and
Poverty. It is, of course, impossible here to weigh all the
arguments against George, or even all the important ones. Instead, I
simply list some of them to give the flavor, and focus attention on a
few central ones. Two, in particular, appear to be plausible and
persistent: First, the judgment that switching to land value taxation
is unfair to innocent landowners; and second, the estimate that land
rent is an insignificant and declining share of income.
In the second section of the paper, I indicate some of the
directions, unfamiliar to most economists, in which the Georist
tradition has developed.
In the final section, I conclude that what George offers is not a
simplistic panacea, but a paradigm -- a conceptual structure built on
simple principles, to be sure, but principles which interact in
complex ways. As a number of authors have argued, the Georgist
paradigm promises to forge a "synthesis" between the "thesis"
of capitalism and the "antithesis" of socialism -- thereby
resolving the tension between the twin social goals of efficiency and
equity.
Moreover, the accelerating environmental crisis is the catalyst which
makes Georgism an obvious alternative. In the past, George's critics
pointed to rising relative wages and falling materials prices as
evidence that land is no longer an important factor of production. Yet
public concern about resource depletion is deepening. The apparent
gains in the efficiency of materials use have come at the cost of
drastic increases in the volume and toxicity of wastes spilled into
air and water -- both also vital land resources, the use of which has
traditionally been unpriced. Sadly, these frontiers of free land are
closing.
We cannot continue to behave as though environmental resources were
limitless and valueless. As the global commons grow scarce, and as
international political arrangements are negotiated to ration their
use, we are faced anew with the question of how to allocate economic
land efficiently while distributing its rent equitably.
In conclusion, I shall suggest that most of the tired and tattered
old controversies about the "Single Tax panacea" can be put
behind us, and that a tantalizing array of new or, at least, neglected
research questions awaits pursuit.
D. STANDARD ARGUMENTS AGAINST THE SPECIAL TAXATION OF LAND RENT
Robert Heilbroner
Probably the most widely read history of economic thought is Robert
Heilbroner's The Worldly Philosophers, first published in
1953. It has done as much as any other book to form the opinion of
Henry George held by economists, social scientists, and the educated
public today.
Unfortunately, Helibroner shows advanced symptoms of that affliction
of textbook writers diagnosed by H. G. Brown, the "single tax
complex." George is depicted as a good-hearted but simple-minded
amateur, driven by childish enthusiasm and self-assurance, who gravely
underestimated the difficulty of the world's economic problems.
Heilbroner does not waste space explaining George's actual theory. He
devotes seven pages to colorful (and partly fanciful) biography; about
a page to George's economics. "We need not spell out the whole
emotionally charged argument," he says. [Heilbroner, 1986:
188]
What explanation be does provide distorts George's views
unrecognizably. Heilbroner fails both to convey the basic principles
of George's economics, and to suggest the richness of George's
philosophy as a whole. Moreover, even in the "completely revised"
sixth edition of 1986, there is no hint of the fact that later writers
have formalized and vastly extended the Georgist approach.
"The argument was not too clearly delineated," Heilbroner
writes. [188] "George's mechanical diagnosis is
superficial and faulty." [180] Actually, George's
argument was painstakingly delineated over the coarse of several
hundred pages, and while it may be faulty, superficial it surely is
not.
More damaging, however, is the fact that Heilbroner ascribes to him a
patently absurd position -- the "equation of rent with sin."
[189] Henry George, we are told, wanted to "abolish"
rent! In fact, of course, George believed that rent is a social
surplus which would steadily grow as progress goes on; what he wanted
was to have rent collected publicly rather than privately.
Heilbroner pauses somewhat longer to give a few of the standard
arguments against the single tax. He refers, for example, to George's
treatment of land speculation, but only to reject his explanation of
the business cycle as a far-fetched exaggeration. "Land
speculations can be troublesome," he declares, "but severe
depressions have taken place in countries where land values were
anything but inflated." [189] No evidence or reference is
offered. (The innocent reader presumes that economists have by now
achieved consensus as to the true cause of depressions.)
"The single tax," chuckles Heilbroner, "in abolishing
rent ... would be -- there is no other word -- the ultimate panacea."
[188-189] The reader is led to infer that no trained economist
today is seriously interested in George. Just as Brown complained
seventy years ago -- and Geiger, fifty-three, and Bruchey, twenty-four
-- students have been forewarned that George was a crackpot, and that
it is not worthwhile to look further in his direction.
It is no surprise that Heilbroner misses the irony of his next words:
But something else was going on in the underworld,
something more important than Henry George's fulminations against
rent.
A new and vigorous spirit was sweeping England and the
Continent and even the United States.
The age of imperialism
had begun, and the mapmakers were busy changing the colors that
denoted ownership of the darker continents. [191-192]
Joseph Schumpeter
In his History of Economic Analysis, Schumpeter makes clear
that he has no use for the single tax "panacea." [Schumpeter,
1954: 865] He indicates that he has "compunctions about the
analytic value of the proposition: God gave the earth In common to all
men." [458] He disparages one writer (Oppenheimer) for "his
Henry-George attitude toward private property in land." [854]
Despite this, Schumpeter shows relatively few symptoms of the single
tax complex. He allows that George's program benefits from good
analysis, insofar as it causes minimum disruption of economic
efficiency. He recognizes George as "a very orthodox economist"
except with regard to the "Single Tax." [865] His
specific criticisms are rather well-aimed, and worth recalling.
Schumpeter imputes to George the thesis that the existence of private
property in land "reduces, of necessity, total real wages" [458],
and is the reason why land is a scarce factor at all [854 note].
In this, he has identified what may be the key argument of Progress
and Poverty -- an argument which, indeed, may not be quite strong
enough to support the weight it carries.
The suggestion implicit in Schumpeter's remark is that to transfer
land rent from private to public hands would not, of itself, affect
wages. Against this it may be noted that, by financing an ever-growing
public sector, the single tax would, if not raise wages, at least
raise real incomes, insofar as workers (like other citizens) are
enabled to consume progressively more government-financed goods and
services. Surely, too, to collect land rent in lieu of taxes on labor
and products will obviously and directly raise after-tax real wages,
in the short run at least. But George does not rely on this argument.
In fact, he says in another place that under the existing land tenure
system, a decrease in taxes made possible by greater economy in
government will, in the long run, benefit landowners, not laborers. [301]
George's primary defense of the assertion that his tax plan will
raise wages is the claim that LVT will curb land speculation, thereby
railing the margin of production, which determines the equilibrium
level of wages:
Labor and capital would thus not merely gain what is now
taken from them in taxation, but would gain by the positive decline
in rent caused by the decrease in speculative land values. [George,
1879: 442]
Whatever be the truth to this, there is some internal difficulty in
George's view. On the one hand, he vehemently rejects malthusianism,
arguing that land is so plentiful that the Earth could comfortably
support a population many times larger than that which prevailed in
1879. This seems to imply that the present population could
comfortably occupy just a small fraction of the space available. Yet
on the other hand, George argues that land speculators, by withholding
some land from use, collectively wield tremendous power to exploit
labor and capital. The evident contradiction is perhaps not entirely
eliminated by supposing that speculation not only reduces the amount
of land in use, but also diminishes the efficiency with which that
land is used.
Schumpeter finds a second flaw in the logic of Progress and
Poverty. This is. the "untenable theory that the phenomenon
of poverty is entirely due to the absorption of all surpluses by the
rent of land." There may be a suggestion here of the familiar
argument that land rent is merely one surplus among many, which I
discuss below. Schumpeter may also be referring specifically to
George's argument that all the gains from population growth and
technological advance ultimately go to the increase of rent. Although
other classical economists are equally to blame for holding an
all-devouring rent thesis, this does not excuse George; in particular,
he might have seen that technological change may be land-saving
instead of labor-saving, particularly as land becomes scarcer relative
to labor. He might also have seen that as technical progress goes on,
access to education becomes an increasingly important factor in income
distribution.
It is one thing to argue that the elaborate classical system which
George constructed to support his central thesis contains errors. It
is quite another thing to show that the central thesis is
unsupportable. About this, Schumpeter has little to say. Despite his
reservations, he concludes with the enigmatic but not unsympathetic
comment that George's proposal is "not economically unsound,
except in that it involves an unwarranted optimism concerning the
yield of such a tax." [865, italics added]
Is the reader to infer that the principle of rent taxation is
economically sound, except that it is inadequate as a single tax? Is
the tax perhaps ethically or politically unsound? Whatever be the
intent of Schumpeter's negatively phrased affirmation, his pessimism
concerning yield, which he shares with Heilbroner, is unfair and
probably unwarranted: Unfair, because government budgets were far
smaller a century ago -- George's contemporary critics feared that the
yield of the single tax would be excessive, giving undue power to
government. Unwarranted, because there are good reasons to suppose
that the yield of a single tax on the full rent of land would be far
larger than his critics today suppose, as I shall indicate below.
Arguments Against Rent Taxation
Opponents of the Georgist program have offered numerous additional
counterarguments. Many of those which recur frequently are either
unsound or irrelevant. A few have value and warrant careful attention,
though none vitiates the fundamental Georgist 1ns1ght.
It is argued, for example:
- that a switch to heavy LVT is unfair to vested interests;
- that the tax would not reach most of those who have, in the
past, benefited from private property in land;
- that land rent is merely one among many surpluses;
- that rent is not a surplus at all, but a reward for putting
land to its best use;
- that land values sometimes fall;
- that land taxation will not raise real wages;
- that many low- and middle-income households own land;
- that LVT will throw the urban poor out of their homes;
- that LVT will bankrupt small farmers;
- that LVT puts government in the business of land management;
- that the value of land cannot be distinguished from that of
capital improvements;
- that "land" denotes no meaningful, distinct economic
entity;
- that the supply of land is not perfectly inelastic as the
theory allegedly requires, since more land can be produced -- or,
since land can be turned from one use to another;
- that land value taxation distorts intertemporal resource
allocation by hastening development;
- that land speculation is efficient, and should be encouraged;
- that the tax will worsen speculation, or have no effect upon
it;
- that the tax will cause severe cash flow problems for owners
of appreciating land;
- that land speculation is not a cause, or the primary cause,,
of business cycles;
- that LVT induces land abandonment;
- that LVT will cause overbuilding, further congesting urban
areas and destroying open land;
- that rent taxation discourages conservation, and induces
ecologically unsound exploitation of resources;
- that the single tax gives inordinate power to government, and
leads inevitably to institutionalized corruption; or,
- that land rent constitutes an insignificant share of national
income, so the tax would raise little revenue and would have a
barely noticeable effect on economic behavior.
Textbooks continue to repeat old errors. Most textbook discussions of
George confine their analytical comments to a cursory exposition of
the inelastic-supply argument for land tax neutrality. Sometimes, the
conventional theorem that a tax on rent cannot be shifted is denied,
on the ground that a rise in rent will bring a large supply of land to
market, or even stimulate production of more land.
There is also usually a mention of distributive impact; the program
is generally felt to be unfair. Income and other taxes are promoted as
capturing alternative sources of surplus. These are generally pushed
on grounds of equity and revenue adequacy. Income taxes share few of
the efficiency properties claimed for rent taxation. On the other
hand, none of these writers has fully come to terms with the Georgist
view of economic justice -- this despite evidence that, because of
wholesale tax (and subsidy) shifting, our ambitious and costly
redistributive programs have had little sustained effect upon the
distribution of disposable income. [Holcombe, 1987: 286-288]
It is not my intent to confront most of these objections. I discuss
two of the more prevalent ones below, before going on to discuss
further developments in Georgist economics. My aim is to show that the
case for using rent as a source of government revenue is far wider and
richer than is commonly realized. The various superneutrality
arguments are virtually unknown. Also, economists have neither
understood nor challenged the Georgist view of the abundant revenue
potential of rent taxation.
Problems of Transition to a Georgist World
There is one objection which occurs even to those who are sympathetic
to George's vision of economic justice and who understand the
efficiency arguments. This is the objection that, even if a Georgist
world is in principle to be preferred to our own, for an established
economy/polity to undertake a transition to heavy or exclusive
reliance on rent taxation would cause unconscionable harm. It would
unfairly penalize the wrong individuals, violate vested interests, and
shake public faith in government. The essence of this complaint is
that it is not fair to change the rules in the middle of the game.
Georgist tax reform would result in windfall losses to some
individuals (and gains to others).
Since LVT cannot be shifted, the entire burden of the program falls
on the backs of those individuals who happen to own land at the time
the tax is announced. The tax neutrality/nonshiftability argument,
usually seen as the first pillar of LVT theory, thus becomes a potent
political and ethical argument against it. Voters accept income taxes,
sales taxes and the rest precisely because they are shifted around,
their burdens diffused widely and in imperceptible ways.
Georgists have several responses, none of which convinces everyone.
They hold that rule changes consequent upon public resolve to correct
a newly recognized injustice tend to promote, rather than erode,
public faith in government. Moreover, land is different. Georgists
point out that in common law, real estate ("regal estate"]
is the property of the State, and that private rights to land are
conditional on the use being consistent with the public interest. We
accept zoning as well as some degree of land value taxation, for
example, as well as the principle of eminent domain, which, where it
is applied, can be far more disruptive of vested interests tha[n]
would be a well-orchestrated transition to a regime based on resource
rent taxation.
Anyhow, legislatures and courts make rule changes every day. Some
cause significant redistribution of welfare, as when tax codes are
overhauled. Taken too literally, the vested rights protest becomes an
absurd defense of the status quo. Defenders respond, of course, that
to "make land common property" by taxing rent is an
exceedingly drastic step. (One wonders what advice these conservative
writers might have offered to the countries of the former Soviet Union
and Eastern Europe.) George observed that slavery was rightly
abolished with no compensation paid to slave owners. Defenders of
vested interests recall the Civil War.
Some land taxers have regretted George's blunt words, emphasizing
that their purpose, however radical, is achieved by a simple, gradual,
unobtrusive adjustment of the rates of familiar taxes.
Perhaps the argument most convincing to economists is that, if
Georgists are right, the proposed regime change constitutes a
potential Pareto-superior move. Depending on transaction costs, it may
be possible to arrange a compensation system during the transitional
period, paying net losers out of the winnings of the net gainers. This
may not be as difficult as it sounds. A gradual, rather than abrupt,
shift to heavier land taxation provides a significant degree of
compensation automatically, since the present value of future taxes,
capitalized into lower current land prices, is smaller, the longer the
reform is postponed. It also allows investors to adjust their plans to
a new set of rules. Moreover, since an increase in the LVT rate would
be accompanied by a decrease in other taxes, there would be very few
individuals (in the United States at least) who, on balance, stood to
suffer a net loss of appreciable magnitude. Those other taxes had been
shifted at least partly to land. Even individuals who lose in the
short run are likely to find themselves better off in the long run
than they would have been without the reform.
A related argument against the Georgist plan is that a rent tax would
fall only on current landowners, many of whom are recent buyers; it
wholly exempts past landowners -- who have already realized their
unearned gains. The injustice to which George objects, if it is an
injustice at all, is a regrettable but immutable fact of history. As
Heilbroner observed:
A vast body of rents goes to small landholders, farmers,
homeowners, modest citizens. ...Rents are not frozen in archaic
feudal patterns, but constantly pass from hand to hand as land is
bought and sold, appraised and reappraised. [Heilbroner, 196:
190]
George's reply to this line of argument was that the purpose of his
reform, like any other, was intended to correct, not past, but present
and future injustice. (The complaint carries more force in the United
States than in some other places, such as where the legacy of European
colonialism includes the latifundia [great estates] of a
powerful aristocracy -- much like those which, George reminds us,
weakened the Roman Empire.)
The real issue is whether the efficiency and equity benefits of the
proposed reform would be sufficiently large to justify the necessary
expenditure of political will and disruption of expectations. The
first constructive task, as Brown observed, is to predict the likely
effects of the Georgist plan once it is in place. If they are
desirable, the reasonable next step is to search for the most
satisfactory way to achieve the transition.
One obvious place to begin is with the vast resources not yet subject
to private property. Raise logging and grazing fees on federal lands
to Market levels -- or higher, to reflect the environmental costs of
these activities. Charge polluters for permission to foul the air,
water, and soil; negotiate international agreements to allow fair,
efficient, and sustainable use of the global commons. At the level of
local politics, one place to start is by gradual reform of the real
estate tax, just as cities in Pennsylvania and New York have done.
All these are already on the agenda in the United States. Ironically,
public opinion seems in some respects to be bending unwittingly in
George's direction.
One Surplus Among Many
A second persistent argument against the Georgist proposal is that,
while land rent is surplus, there are many other important sources of
surplus (or unearned income) as well. This view, only suggested by
Schumpeter, is central to Heilbroner's critique:
... [L]and lords are not the only passive beneficiaries
of the growth of society. The stockholder in an expanding company,
the workman whose productivity is enhanced by technical progress,
the consumer whose real income rises as the nation prospers, all
these are also beneficiaries of communal advancement. The unearned
gains that accrue to a well-situated landlord are enjoyed in
different forms by all of us. [Heilbroner, 1986: 189]
"Neo-Georgist" Kenneth Bouldlng agreed that rent taxation
is equitable as well as efficient, and that the tax system is the
ideal instrument with which to socialize rent. However, he emphasized
that land rent is only one of several varieties of taxable surplus;
the "single tax" alone is insufficient to capture it all. [Boulding,
1982: 8] Boulding suggested that graduated income taxes are
appropriate to achieve the redistribution George desired.
Perhaps the movement that undermined George's influence
more than any other was the rise of the progressive income tax, most
of which took place after the publication of Progress and
Poverty. In the opinion of most economists and men of affairs,
this represented a method of redistribution, even the capture of
economic surplus, which was more general than any land tax. [17]
Even if they reach some surplus, however, income taxes tap both
earned and unearned income indiscriminately; they share few of the
efficiency properties claimed for land value taxation. Moreover, since
they are easily shifted, there is no assurance that income taxes
affect the distribution of welfare as anticipated. George wrote that
the goal of the progressive income tax -- a more equal distribution --
is worthy, but that its enforcement encourages bribery and evasion,
and involves needless restriction of freedom. Worse, "Just in
proportion as the tax accomplishes its effect, there is a lessening in
the incentive to accumulate wealth, which is one of the strong forces
of industrial progress." [George, 1879: 320]
In any case, Heilbroner's suggested alternative surpluses are
suspect. In the first place, the gains received by a "stockholder
in an expanding company" are interest and profit, not "surplus";
without such gains, corporations could not attract scarce capital,
especially for risky ventures. Whereas a new buyer in the land market
merely raises the price of the fixed stock of land, a new buyer in the
stock market increases the aggregate of corporate capital.
LVT is not intended to capture entrepreneurial profit, which is a
reward for risk and ingenuity. One who acquires land by purchase in a
well-informed market and possesses no monopoly power enjoys no "unearned
income" in the accepted sense unless there are land gains not
foreseen and capitalized in the purchase price. If a certain
landowning entrepreneur is able to extract a net income which exceeds
the opportunity cost of the land, as measured by the market rent, then
that excess is profit; it is not, and should not be, captured by a
rent tax.
Ordinary monopoly profits, George knew, are indeed another source of
unearned advantage. His preferred solution was either to abolish the
entry barrier which produces the monopoly, or, in the case of natural
monopoly, to have the activity regulated by government. Either way,
there will be nothing left to tax.
In the second place, rent is a surplus only in the sense that land
would exist regardless of who received its rent. More to the point,
rent is the social opportunity cost of land occupancy. Rent rations
scarce land services, which are rival benefits: One person's enjoyment
of these general gains interferes with another's. By contrast, the
rising real wages and incomes enjoyed by workers and consumers "as
the nation prospers" are clearly nonrival benefits; one person's
enjoyment deprives no other. These widely shared "surpluses"
are a cause, not for alarm, but for celebration.
Heilbroner tells us that George wanted to "abolish rent"
because rent has made some people rich. He was "outraged" at
the sometimes "fabulous" incomes of fortunate landlords. [Heilbroner,
1986: 188] However, George was not at all opposed to wealth. On
the contrary, he wished we could all be rich; he praised the technical
and social advances which promise to make the wish come true. His book
inquires, not why some men are rich, but why, despite a century of
undreamed-of material progress, so many are poor.
CONTINUE:
2. SOME DEVELOPMENTS IN
GEORGIST ECONOMICS
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