.
| John
Kenneth Galbraith -- Economist Out On A Limb |
| [Reprinted from Land
& Liberty, March, 1967*] |
What is a Market?
IN PROFESSOR GALBRAITH'S Reith Lectures the themes of the trend towards
bigness and the need for economic planning are combined: Both are seen
as an inevitable consequence of modern technology. It is an appealing
theory, rendered still more fascinating by the dry wit of its
originator, but as a reasoned argument it is very rickety. Professor
Galbraith emphasises certain facts about the economic scene, ignores
other facts, and not surprisingly, proceeds to draw false conclusions.
In the first lecture Galbraith compares the manufacture of the early
Ford with that of a modern motor car and describes the main differences:
"large commitments of capital, a great elapse of time between the
initiation of production and its completion, extensive reliance on
specialised manpower, intricate organisation and - as an ultimate
consequence - diminished effectiveness of the market."
With the list of changes in production arid the inferred need for
detailed forward planning one can agree; but the so-called consequence
does not follow. If the market is now regarded solely as a place where
housewives can spy out the best and cheapest tomatoes, then to a large
extent the market has gone (though to a large extent also, it remains as
Galbraith later admits), but the market should not be so regarded; The
distinction that Galbraith is makings is that whereas in the days of the
first Ford; materials could simply be bought "off the peg,"
nowadays many commodities required for manufacture are so specialised in
design that they have to be ordered in advance. Nevertheless, they are
still produced to meet a consumer preference, they can still be ordered
from another supplier, and there is still the same incentive to keep
custom that may be lost.
Although in the sphere of industry about which Galbraith is talking the
number of business units is much smaller than in the past, the market
for their products (he neglects to tell us) is very much larger and
often world-wide. There are not many major groups manufacturing motor
cars in Britain today but despite tariffs they are in direct competition
with groups in other countries of western Europe and in the United
States. Similarly, Galbraith remarks that when the original Ford was
produced, a labourer or a machine operative could probably be hired at
the nearest saloon, whereas a systems engineer cannot. He does not
mention that newspapers enable a modern large company to look for its
systems engineers not only in the nearest town but over a whole state or
country.
The need for a period of planning, the argument runs, begets the need
for prices to be fixed in advance, and kept stable. Accordingly, prices
are determined by the large corporation and no longer left to the market
However, everyone having something to sell fixes its price, just as
everyone tries to persuade the public to buy (the tomato seller usually
cries his product's virtues with great gusto). Experiments with price
may take place after the goods are on sale; or in the planning stage
before they go on sale. In some cases sellers will try alternative
tactics, such as an increase in advertising, before altering price, but
in the last resort either price must be adjusted or the product itself
modified. The consumer is therefore still sovereign, and competition
among the giants themselves is a good protection against hypnotic
persuasion.
Galbraith contrasts a free market in which, he says, "the
initiative lies with the individual" with the creation of an
elaborate new product where the initiative lies with the producer. They
are produced and tried out and if they sell well more are produced. It
does not often happen that consumers ask for a non-existent product
which someone then manufactures, except precisely in the areas of
greatest technological complexity. The argument is stood on its head!
Division of Labour Overlooked
About a market economy, muses Galbraith nostalgically, there is "something
admirably libertarian and democratic" but the market is being,
overtaken by the evolution of modern business. Big units come about not
only to achieve economies of scale, or to attain a monopoly position,
but to meet the demands of planning itself, and for this purpose "it
could be that the bigger the better."
Once more, one trend is being emphasised at tile expense of another.
The tendency to increased size has been accompanied for centuries by the
opposite tendency of the division of labour, and this has been greatly
stimulated by advancing technology. Galbraith should have compared the
manufacture of the original Ford by one firm with the fact that today
some two-thousand firms may participate in the manufacture of a motor
car. The development of technology can result in more planning within an
organisation but can also lead to a more highly articulated and
co-ordinated free market.
Galbraith quotes a United States Steel Corporation annual report! "The
American competitive enterprise system is an acknowledged profit and
loss system, the hope of profits being the incentive and the fear of
loss being the spur," and regards this statement as nonsense
because nearly all the largest firms make profits. Certainly, a large
company will not easily make an overall loss, but it may lose in a
branch of its activities, or on a single product, and although it makes
an overall profit, the rate of profit might be decreasing. Galbraith
argues that the growth of the corporation, which brings new
opportunities and prestige for the executives who manage it, is now more
important than the maximisation of profit, in which the executives do
not normally share, but it is difficult to see how growth can come about
except through success as measured by profit. If the desire by
executives for secure earnings is making large corporations less
adventurous than they should be, the remedy lies in increased
competition, revision of the patent laws, and strengthened control by
shareholders.
Functions of the State
One aspect of the technological revolution on which Galbraith is
particularly interesting is the change in the nature of decision making.
Individuals now rarely have the knowledge to appreciate all the facts on
which recommendations are made and frequently have to accept the
conclusions of groups of experts, who have to be shielded from amateur
interference even by the company's owners. Nonetheless the
responsibility and risk are taken by the individual at the top - and it
is he who decides on timing, and allocation of money, in relation to
other priorities, and it is he, not his experts, who will most suffer
the consequences of failure.
The essence of the Galbraith thesis is that the planning in the large
corporation has to be supplemented by the planning of the state. The
state has three functions: to control prices and wages and aggregate
demand generally; to supply the specialised manpower that industry
requires; and to underwrite very large technological projects.
It is a proper responsibility of the state to regulate "aggregate
demand" if by that is meant the supply of money. Control of prices
and wages is not necessary to achieve this; on the contrary it is a sign
of failure to achieve it.
The state does not supply specialised manpower. A young man's decision
to follow a trade is governed by his assessment of the prospects in that
trade, not on what skills the state thinks are needed. These prospects
including remuneration, are better when industry requires more men in
that line than are available, but that is the beauty of the market.
The technological projects underwritten by the state can be divided
into two kinds: those where state intervention is unnecessary, as with
aircraft (some aircraft are not supported by the state), and those, like
space research, where private industry could not hope to make a profit -
a sound indication that people would rather be free to spend their money
on other things. (Defence is in a separate category because it is an
essential function of government itself.)
No reconciliation
Attractively, Galbraith suggests that just as organisations in the
private sector become independent of both consumers and shareholders, so
public corporations become independent of public control, whether that
control be democratic or not. It follows that the old labels of
capitalism, democratic socialism and authoritarian communism are
becoming meaningless, and that there is in reality a convergence between
the different systems. The idea of convergence is popular since the
re-introduction of the profit indicator for factories in the Soviet
Union, but Galbraith is careful to point out that this decentralisation
is not a return to the marked but "a shift of some planning
functions (including some control of prices) from the state to the firm".
One continuing difference is that in the private sector there is a means
of checking on the decision making of a large corporation - by
consulting the decision-making of its competitors. In a nationalised
industry there is no such check.
Professor Galbraith's conclusion is that the development of the
partnership between the large corporation and the state could tend to
make the needs of the industrial system so dominant that all else will
be subordinated to it. His plea for the aesthetic dimension of life to
be preserved will be echoed by many who do not share Galbraith's
theories.
The industrial system will be seen in perspective only when men are not
compelled to think always of their material wants, when the world
economy has become so efficient that a high material standard is
available to everybody. When that happens a fuller and richer life will
be possible for all of us, but only if freedom is maintained. It is
doubtful indeed whether freedom can be reconciled with economic
planning.
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