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| The Chance
of Prosperity -- Part 2: The Barrier to Production |
| [Reprinted from Land
& Liberty, November-December, 1971] |
WE HAVE become so used to economic stagnation or at least low rates of
economic growth that the goal of steady, sustained expansion seems
remote. Wise men shake their heads and wonder how it can be obtained,
while some in the Treasury find the prospect of expansion so full of
dangers that they would apparently prefer a safe stagnation. It is
therefore important to remind ourselves how vital economic growth is, to
shake off our mood of apathy, and to strengthen our determination to
improve our position.
Economic growth means, or could mean, a rise in the living standards of
the people, with all that implies for their material well-being, their
happiness, and the quality of their lives. It means the ability to give
more help to those in need. It means the capacity to increase public
expenditure or reduce taxation, depending on one's political viewpoint.
It means that whatever role Britain chooses to play in the world will
have stronger economic backing. Perhaps most significant, it means that
attempts to secure an equitable distribution of wealth will
stand more chance of success.
In seeking prosperity it is first necessary to be clear where
intervention is needed in the economy and where it is not. The waters of
a river do not need to be taught how to flow. If the current is sluggish
the prudent irrigator cuts the weeds and dredges the silt.
The potential increase in wealth and leisure is still enormous. Even
man in his primitive state could provide himself with food, clothing,
and shelter. With the increase in population, the intricate division of
labour, the extensive use of tools and machinery, the growth in
international trade, and now the arrival of computers and automation, we
should marvel that our standard of living is not far higher and our
economy far more robust than it is. Instead, we have had appalling
industrial depressions, unemployment, poverty, and squalor. What has
caused the natural path of progress to be so dreadfully disfigured?
Whatever the situation may be in the future (and I pronounce no
judgement on that), there has not been in the past, and is not now, a
shortage of natural resources. There is no lack of the desire for more
goods and services, nor of the ability and willingness of man to work.
There is no lack of the technology to help him. If natural development
is checked it must be because there is a barrier between natural
resources and the application to them of human effort aided by
technology. The way to economic health and expansion begins with the
identification and removal of this barrier to production.
In a modern industrial society the supreme importance of access to
natural resources is commonly overlooked. People who work on natural
resources directly, in agriculture, or mining, are few. The denial of
access to these resources does not, on the face of it, affect the
employment of the building labourer, the man on the assembly belt, or
the clerk in his office. Yet the state of the whole economy does depend
on the health of the primary industries. Services are paid for out of
manufactured wealth, and all phases of manufacture, including marketing
and organization, are ultimately dependent on the flow of raw materials.
If, for example, there were an interruption in the supply of timber,
this would affect not only the employment of carpenters but also that of
furniture salesmen. If there were an interruption in the supply of coal
and oil there would soon be cuts in power and transport. If there were
an interruption in the supply of iron, steelmaking would be curtailed
and ships, aeroplanes, machinery, and much else besides could not be
built. If there is an interruption in the supply of land for building,
all kinds of industrial and business activity will be held up. Finally,
an interruption in the supply of water would not only disrupt production
but threaten human life itself.
It will be seen, therefore, that any society, however advanced, is
utterly dependent on the free access of its people to natural resources
and in particular to land surface which gives access to all other
natural resources. (Land was defined by the classical economists to
include what is above it and below it and the natural elements that
affect it.) Where, as in India, land is monopolized by a few, those few
become very rich, but there is the most acute and widespread poverty
because although there is a vast area of land capable of exploitation,
and a vast population to exploit it, there is very little access of one
to the other. Where land is in much wider ownership, as in Britain, the
extremes are much less, but the same principle applies. To attain
natural economic growth and full employment there are many measures
required but the very first of them is to secure the free access of
people to land. Without that foundation all other policies will fail.
Many countries have plans to spread the ownership of land by dividing
holdings into smaller units. This approach, though helpful in some
circumstances, is unsound economically and does not meet the needs of an
industrialized country like Britain. Access to land can be physically
denied by virtue of ownership, but equally potent as a barrier is the
price of land, which can and does rise to a level that producers cannot
afford to pay.
When the economy is booming land prices rise steeply. Owners who might
otherwise release their land for use hold it off the market to seek a
profit from the increase in its value. The more this is done the greater
the shortage of available land, and the greater the rise in prices,
which in turn makes speculation even more attractive. With commodities,
high prices call forth more production and this brings prices down
again, but one cannot produce more land. There is no restraint on the
artificial increase in price which must eventually reach a point at
which it renders the cost of production prohibitive. It is then
inevitable that there are cutbacks in production, closures, and possibly
a full-scale depression in which only the dragging down of land prices
makes production profitable again. This is the true explanation for the
business cycle of boom and slump and the scourge of mass unemployment.
Does free access to land imply an end to private ownership, and if so
is the only alternative nationalization, which would give governments
complete control over land use?
There are two principal aspects of ownership of land: one is the choice
of what to do with it, and the other is the enjoyment of its value. It
is perfectly possible to preserve the first of these while acting to
prevent the second. This can be done by assessing the value of all land,
apart from improvements, and placing a tax on it.
The effect of taxing the value of land would be to reduce its price.
If, for instance, a site is capable when put to its optimum use of
yielding an income of £1,000 per annum it will have a selling price
which is the capitalized value of that figure, say at present £12,500
(the sum which if invested at 8 per cent would yield £1,000), plus
a speculative element of perhaps £2,500, a total of £15,000. A
tax of 50 per cent on the rental value of £1,000 would reduce the
income of the owner of the site to £500 and the selling price from £15,000
to £7,500. A tax of 100 per cent would reduce the income and
consequently the price to nil, and land would cease to have a value
apart from its value in use. Private possession of land would still be
guaranteed, but there would be no advantage in holding land out of use
for an increase in its value and, on the contrary, a strong inducement
to put it to its fullest use in order to pay the tax. The result would
be a substantial increase in the amount of land available for
production.
With the underlying barrier to production removed, the ordinary
workings of a free market economy should ensure that when resources are
available and there is profit to be derived from their use they will be
used. There are, however, certain interferences with the operation of a
free market, one of the most important of which is taxation. Taxation
can influence the use of all resources - natural, human, and capital -
and to attain prolonged economic growth through the maximum use of
resources the right taxation policy is essential.
The effect of a tax on land values, as indicated above, is to encourage
the availability and more intensive use of land. In this, it is one of
the rare examples of a tax whose effects are positive rather than
negative. Conversely, the effect of taxes on wages and interest is to
retard the most effective employment of labour, capital, and enterprise.
Hard work, responsibility, skill and training, initiative, investment,
innovation, and risk-taking are all discouraged by a reduction in the
net returns they can earn. The conclusion is obvious: that the
introduction of a tax on land values should be accompanied by the
simultaneous reduction of taxation on labour and its products and on
capital.
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